Severe storms, water stress, and ice retreat highlight the urgency of India meeting its Paris Climate targets
Basirhat Gul
Climate change is not just a future threat but also an existing reality that is altering landscapes, livelihoods, and lives on a global scale. Climate change is already impacting India, particularly the ecologically sensitive region of Kashmir in the Himalayas. The extreme weather events of floods, droughts, and flash glacier melting are already being witnessed. The geography of the region makes it extremely sensitive, and recent events make it necessary to act on climate with immense force.
Floods have now become one of the most devastating expressions of climate change in Kashmir. Rising temperatures have thrown the rain pattern out of gear, resulting in heavy and localized rain that overburdens rivers and drainages. The 2014 devastating floods are still etched in the collective memory, sweeping across vast tracts of Srinagar and causing enormous economic losses.
Cloudbursts and flash floods had struck parts of Jammu and Kashmir in July and August 2024, i.e., districts of Kulgam, Ganderbal and Poonch. They had claimed lives, damaged homes, roads and crops, and rendered hundreds of families homeless.
Heavy rainfall events and flash floods are becoming increasingly frequent in the hilly area of Kashmir. A cloudburst, a rare weather phenomenon, was witnessed over the area around the Amarnath cave shrine in July 2024, which resulted in flash floods sweeping through the area and ruining tents and killing a number of pilgrims.
This warning came to fruition in August 2025 with the flooding of Chasoti village in Kishtwar during the annual Machail Mata Yatra, as a result of cloudbursts that suddenly flooded the area, destroying houses, vehicles, and a community kitchen. 70+ people died, hundreds were injured, and many more were missing. In fact, it was terrifying to know that gruesome remains were found from the Chenab river, entities with their limbs severed. Then, it became strangely uplifting when it was reported that a 13-month-old baby was saved from under the rubble by the SDRF. Although experts now suspect that the event was caused by a glacial lake outburst flood and not rain alone, alerting us that the cause is factually linked to glaciers melting quicker than ever. There is major work needed to develop and improve early warning systems and the way we manage fragile ecosystems in the Himalayas.
Meteorologists also add that increased atmospheric instability has been accompanied by increased water content at higher temperatures to increase the frequency and intensity of cloudbursts along the Himalayan arc. They occur without warning, and are therefore even more lethal to scattered populations. as well as concentrations along religious or tourism-related grounds.
And even as the floods are the main concern, the other extreme, likewise drought, is increasing in Kashmir. Variability in the monsoons, lower winter snowfalls, and irregular rain distribution have resulted in water shortages during times of peak cropping. Pulwama and Budgam districts both report decreasing crop yields, especially for water-demanding crops like paddy.
The diminished snow cover also affects groundwater recharge, leading societies to rely on diminishing water resources. Kashmir glaciers such as Pir Panjal and Greater Himalayas are the largest freshwater reservoirs. Increasing average temperatures of approximately 0.8°C during the last century in the region are making glaciers retreat at alarming speeds.
Extreme Weather in India Today: The Kashmir weather crisis is but part of a larger national trend. Generally, India witnessed more extreme weather. Flash floods in July 2024 in the states of Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand swept over fields, homes, and bridges. The worst floods in decades in Assam left more than 2 million people displaced, and there were torrential rains leading to urban flooding in parts of Maharashtra and Gujarat.
While the northern states of Maharashtra and Gujarat grappled with floods of unprecedented magnitude, the southern states of Tamil Nadu and Karnataka experienced drought-like conditions of unprecedented intensity, thereby suggesting that India is receiving too much water in one region and not enough in another too often within the same season.
The human cost is staggering: displacement, loss of income, damage to infrastructure, and taking months to recover are the rule. Tourism is one of the major economic drivers of Kashmir,which suffers as roads, trekking routes, and cultural heritage suffer damage. Agriculture, the backbone of the rural economy, is impacted by erratic weather patterns, affecting food security.
Ecosystems are also at risk. Landslides and flooding repeatedly burn off forests, leave soils in ashes, and alter riverine ecosystems. Wildlife habitats are contracting, and altered climatic regimes are affecting flowering periods and migratory routes.
Adaptation and Preparedness in Kashmir: In order to face these challenges, Kashmir needs a multi-pronged approach involving a mix of scientific forecasting, robust infrastructure, and indigenous preparedness. Improving flood forecasting systems, reviving the wetlands as natural sponges, and reinforcing drainage systems are short-term goals.
India’s Climate Commitments: As a signatory to the Paris Agreement, India has made strong commitments towards climate change mitigation, including reducing the emissions intensity of its GDP by 45% by the year 2030 below the base year 2005, achieving 50% of its cumulative installed capacity of electric power from non-fossil fuels, and making an additional carbon sink of 2.5 to 3 billion tonnes of CO₂ equivalent through expanding forest and tree cover. It has also pledged a long-term commitment of having net-zero emissions by 2070, being championed by plans like the National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC) and State Action Plans (SAPCC), encouraging renewable energy, sustainable agriculture, water harvesting, and afforestation activity being essential for the preservation of sensitive ecosystems like Kashmir’s.
The Way Ahead: Climate change in Kashmir is not a local issue but an indication of a global crisis. It must be countered both by local adaptation and by playing an active part in global action on mitigation. To preserve Kashmir’s fragile ecological environment and promote sustainable development on the one hand, and good governance, resources, and local community, scientists, and policy-making engagement on the other, will be necessary in order to look ahead.
The Kashmir narrative is a microcosm of the climate change struggle across the world: a tale of time running out, but not nearly too late to rescue the world and the people upon which it depends, thanks to the efforts of all of us.
